DAMPAK LIBERALISASI PERDAGANGAN GLOBAL DAN PERUBAHAN KONDISI EKONOMI-POLITIK DOMESTIK TERHADAP DINAMIKA PERDAGANGAN LUAR NEGERI KELOMPOK KOMODITAS BERBASIS PERTANIAN DI INDONESIA

Abstract

Impact of global trade liberalism and domestically of economic and political
change to the dynamism of foreign trade of Indonesian agriculture product. The
implementation of global trade liberalism as a result of the agreement of agriculture
WTO-1994 is accused to provide more benefit to developed countries than developing
countries. Phenomena of economic crisis and implementation of autonomy process is also
assumed to be strongly influence to create the dynamism of foreign trade of Indonesian
agriculture product. This study is conducted to identify the impact of those phenomena.
The outcome of the study identifies that aggregately the role of agriculture commodity
group is decreased in both the contribution surplus of Indonesian foreign trade and its
growth during global trade liberalism period. Meanwhile, the result of desegregation
analysis by regression method indicate that global trade liberalism has significance effect
in increasingly deficit trade of commodity group of cereal, sugar, milk, live animal, and
residues product of milling industry. Otherwise, affect significantly in increasing surplus
to commodity group that related to fishery, estate and preparation products. Condition of
crisis economic tend to decrease of deficit of some commodity group that was ever
deficit, except for commodity group of sugar. For surpluses commodity group, the effect
are varied. During implementation of autonomy process indicate that deficit of
commodity group of sugar and cereal was decreases as a result of government
intervention in controlling import surge of sugar and rice.