Potential Competitiveness of Indonesian Rubber Export in International Trade
Abstract
The demand for rubber continues to rise in countries with established automotive industries. However, the potential of Indonesia’s rubber as an export commodity, along with its domestic absorption, has not yet matched the opportunities available in the international rubber market. This discrepancy, reflected in the decline in both value and volume of Indonesian rubber exports over recent years, poses a threat if left unaddressed. This study aims to analyze the competitiveness of Indonesian rubber exports to destination countries and to examine Indonesia’s market position and export potential in those countries. The data utilized in this research consist of Indonesia’s rubber export values, which are analyzed using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), and the X-Model of Product Export Potential. The findings indicate that rubber is a commodity with a strong comparative advantage, supported by Indonesia’s natural endowments, affirming its role as a key rubber-exporting country in the global market. Furthermore, the development of rubber export markets in importing countries demonstrates promising potential.
Downloads
Download data is not yet available.
References
Adi, Lumadya. 2017. “Pengaruh Exchange Rate Dan GDP Terhadap Ekspor Dan Impor Indonesia.” Develop 1(1). doi: 10.25139/dev.v1i1.69.
Amiruddin, Achmad, Heliawaty, and Alfirah Fadhilah. 2022. “Posisi Keunggulan Kompetitif Daya Saing Karet Indonesia.” Jurnal Agrisep 23 (2)(2021):1–14.
Arrazy, Masquri, and RIndy Pramadini. 2020. “PROYEKSI EKSPOR TEH INDONESIA DENGAN METODE ARIMA INDONESIAN TEA EXPORT PROJECTION USING ARIMA METHOD.” MEDIAN Jurnal Ilmiah Populer 04(01):50–56.
Asmara, Rosihan, and Nesia Artdiyasa. 2008. “ANALISIS TINGKAT DAYA SAING EKSPOR KOMODITI PERKEBUNAN INDONESIA (THE EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS LEVEL ANALYSIS OF INDONESIAN ESTATE COMMODITY).” AGRISE Volume VII(2).
Choirulina, Eka, and Deky Paryadi. 2022. “Strategi Akses Pasar Kerjasama Perdagangan Indonesia Kanada Dalam Kerangka Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreeement (Cepa).” Cendekia Niaga 6(2):110–28. doi: 10.52391/jcn.v6i2.745.
Destiarni, Resti Prastika, Sri Ratna Triyasari, and Ahmad Syariful Jamil. 2021. “The Determinants of Indonesia’s CPO Export in Non - Traditional Market.” E3S Web of Conferences 232:1–12. doi: 10.1051/e3sconf/202123202017.
Dhamira, Aura, and Imade Yoga Prasada. 2021. “Indonesian Natural Rubber Export Potential in European Market.” E3S Web of Conferences 305:1–8. doi: 10.1051/e3sconf/202130502003.
Haikal Sitepu, Muhammad, and Alison McKay. 2020. “Socio-Technical Analysis of Natural Rubber Plantation in North Sumatera: Possibilities for Sustaining Supply.” IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering 801(1):0–9. doi: 10.1088/1757-899X/801/1/012114.
Hutabarat, Leonard. 2018. “Diplomasi Ekonomi Indonesia Dan Pasar Prospektif Di Kawasan Pacific Alliance: Studi Kasus Meksiko Dan Chile.” Jurnal Asia Pacific Studies 2(2):161. doi: 10.33541/japs.v2i2.806.
Isventina, Isventina, Nunung Nuryartono, and Manuntun Parulian Hutagaol. 2018. “Analisis Daya Saing Sektor Industri Prioritas Indonesia Dalam Menghadapi Pasar Asean.”
Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan Pembangunan 4(1):71–93. doi: 10.29244/jekp.4.1.71-93.
Kurniawaty, Kurniawaty, Zamzami Zamzami, and Nurhayani Nurhayani. 2022. “Pengaruh Produksi, PDB, Dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Ekspor Karet Indonesia Ke Korea Selatan.” Jurnal Ekonomi Aktual 2(2):65–72. doi: 10.53867/jea.v2i2.63.
Lembang, Marlina Banne, and Yulius Pratomo. 2013. “Ekspor Karet Indonesia Ke-15 Negara Tujuan Utama Setelah Pemberlakuan Kebijakan ACFTA.” Trikonomika 12(1):20. doi: 10.23969/trikonomika.v12i1.454.
Malian, A. Husni. 2004. “Kebijakan Perdagangan Internasional Komoditas Pertanian Indonesia.” Akp 2(2):135–56.
Mawardi, Ahmad Nasyid, Tri Endar Suswatiningsih, and Arum Ambarsari. 2021. “Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Karet Alam Indonesia Ke Brazil.” Journal Agrifitia 1(1):80–89.
Mulyasari, Gita, Ira Nurhayati Djarot, Nugroho Adi Sasongko, and Agusta Samodra Putra. 2023. “Social-Life Cycle Assessment of Oil Palm Plantation Smallholders in Bengkulu Province, Indonesia.” Heliyon 9(8):e19123. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19123.
Muna, Kamala Nailil, and Ignatia Martha Hendrati. 2023. “Export Competitiveness Analysis of Indonesian Natural Rubber ( HS 400122 ) Commodity in The Chinese Market.” 4(4):167–75.
Oktaviani, Rina, and Dan Tanti Novianti. 2008. “INTEGRASI PERDAGANGAN DAN DINAMIKA EKSPOR INDONESIA KE TIMUR TENGAH (Studi Kasus : Turki, Tunisia, Dan Maroko) (Case Study: Turkey, Tunisia, and Marocco).” Agro EKonomi 26(2):167–89.
Rangkuty, Dewi Mahrani, and Bakhtiar Efendi. 2022. TEORI EKSPOR (Studi Kasus: Ekspor Indonesia Ke Negara ASEAN). Vol. 19. LPPM UNDIKMA.
Ross, Finnley W. R., Philip W. Boyd, Karen Filbee-Dexter, Kenta Watanabe, Alejandra Ortega, Dorte Krause-Jensen, Catherine Lovelock, Calvyn F. A. Sondak, Lennart T. Bach, Carlos M. Duarte, Oscar Serrano, John Beardall, Patrick Tarbuck, and Peter I. Macreadie. 2023. “Potential Role of Seaweeds in Climate Change Mitigation.” Science of the Total Environment 885(December 2022):163699. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163699.
Sugiharti, Lilik, Miguel Angel Esquivias, and Bekti Setyorani. 2020. “The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Indonesia’s Top Exports to the Five Main Export Markets.” Heliyon 6(1):e03141. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e03141.
Tajulfitri, Sang Saniaka, and Widyaiswara. 2019. “POSISI PERDAGANGAN KARET INDONESIA DALAM MENGHADAPI PASAR GLOBAL.” Jurnal Cendekia Niaga 3(2):5–10.
Wahyudy, Hajry Arief, Khairizal, and Heriyanto. 2018. “PERKEMBANGAN EKSPOR KARET ALAM INDONESIA.” Jurnal Dinamika Pertanian XXXIV(2):88.
Welatama, Andresta. 2017. “DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN INTERNATIONAL TRIPARTITE RUBBER COUNCIL DALAM MEMBATASI KUOTA EKSPOR KARET ALAM TERHADAP INDONESIA.” JOM FISIP 4(2):1–8.
Zuhdi, Fadhlan, and Rizqi Sari Anggraini. 2020. “The Indonesian Natural Rubber Export Competitiveness in Global Market.” International Journal of Agriculture System (JAS) 8(2):130–39. doi: 10.20956/ijas.v8i2.2518.
Amiruddin, Achmad, Heliawaty, and Alfirah Fadhilah. 2022. “Posisi Keunggulan Kompetitif Daya Saing Karet Indonesia.” Jurnal Agrisep 23 (2)(2021):1–14.
Arrazy, Masquri, and RIndy Pramadini. 2020. “PROYEKSI EKSPOR TEH INDONESIA DENGAN METODE ARIMA INDONESIAN TEA EXPORT PROJECTION USING ARIMA METHOD.” MEDIAN Jurnal Ilmiah Populer 04(01):50–56.
Asmara, Rosihan, and Nesia Artdiyasa. 2008. “ANALISIS TINGKAT DAYA SAING EKSPOR KOMODITI PERKEBUNAN INDONESIA (THE EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS LEVEL ANALYSIS OF INDONESIAN ESTATE COMMODITY).” AGRISE Volume VII(2).
Choirulina, Eka, and Deky Paryadi. 2022. “Strategi Akses Pasar Kerjasama Perdagangan Indonesia Kanada Dalam Kerangka Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreeement (Cepa).” Cendekia Niaga 6(2):110–28. doi: 10.52391/jcn.v6i2.745.
Destiarni, Resti Prastika, Sri Ratna Triyasari, and Ahmad Syariful Jamil. 2021. “The Determinants of Indonesia’s CPO Export in Non - Traditional Market.” E3S Web of Conferences 232:1–12. doi: 10.1051/e3sconf/202123202017.
Dhamira, Aura, and Imade Yoga Prasada. 2021. “Indonesian Natural Rubber Export Potential in European Market.” E3S Web of Conferences 305:1–8. doi: 10.1051/e3sconf/202130502003.
Haikal Sitepu, Muhammad, and Alison McKay. 2020. “Socio-Technical Analysis of Natural Rubber Plantation in North Sumatera: Possibilities for Sustaining Supply.” IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering 801(1):0–9. doi: 10.1088/1757-899X/801/1/012114.
Hutabarat, Leonard. 2018. “Diplomasi Ekonomi Indonesia Dan Pasar Prospektif Di Kawasan Pacific Alliance: Studi Kasus Meksiko Dan Chile.” Jurnal Asia Pacific Studies 2(2):161. doi: 10.33541/japs.v2i2.806.
Isventina, Isventina, Nunung Nuryartono, and Manuntun Parulian Hutagaol. 2018. “Analisis Daya Saing Sektor Industri Prioritas Indonesia Dalam Menghadapi Pasar Asean.”
Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan Pembangunan 4(1):71–93. doi: 10.29244/jekp.4.1.71-93.
Kurniawaty, Kurniawaty, Zamzami Zamzami, and Nurhayani Nurhayani. 2022. “Pengaruh Produksi, PDB, Dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Ekspor Karet Indonesia Ke Korea Selatan.” Jurnal Ekonomi Aktual 2(2):65–72. doi: 10.53867/jea.v2i2.63.
Lembang, Marlina Banne, and Yulius Pratomo. 2013. “Ekspor Karet Indonesia Ke-15 Negara Tujuan Utama Setelah Pemberlakuan Kebijakan ACFTA.” Trikonomika 12(1):20. doi: 10.23969/trikonomika.v12i1.454.
Malian, A. Husni. 2004. “Kebijakan Perdagangan Internasional Komoditas Pertanian Indonesia.” Akp 2(2):135–56.
Mawardi, Ahmad Nasyid, Tri Endar Suswatiningsih, and Arum Ambarsari. 2021. “Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Karet Alam Indonesia Ke Brazil.” Journal Agrifitia 1(1):80–89.
Mulyasari, Gita, Ira Nurhayati Djarot, Nugroho Adi Sasongko, and Agusta Samodra Putra. 2023. “Social-Life Cycle Assessment of Oil Palm Plantation Smallholders in Bengkulu Province, Indonesia.” Heliyon 9(8):e19123. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19123.
Muna, Kamala Nailil, and Ignatia Martha Hendrati. 2023. “Export Competitiveness Analysis of Indonesian Natural Rubber ( HS 400122 ) Commodity in The Chinese Market.” 4(4):167–75.
Oktaviani, Rina, and Dan Tanti Novianti. 2008. “INTEGRASI PERDAGANGAN DAN DINAMIKA EKSPOR INDONESIA KE TIMUR TENGAH (Studi Kasus : Turki, Tunisia, Dan Maroko) (Case Study: Turkey, Tunisia, and Marocco).” Agro EKonomi 26(2):167–89.
Rangkuty, Dewi Mahrani, and Bakhtiar Efendi. 2022. TEORI EKSPOR (Studi Kasus: Ekspor Indonesia Ke Negara ASEAN). Vol. 19. LPPM UNDIKMA.
Ross, Finnley W. R., Philip W. Boyd, Karen Filbee-Dexter, Kenta Watanabe, Alejandra Ortega, Dorte Krause-Jensen, Catherine Lovelock, Calvyn F. A. Sondak, Lennart T. Bach, Carlos M. Duarte, Oscar Serrano, John Beardall, Patrick Tarbuck, and Peter I. Macreadie. 2023. “Potential Role of Seaweeds in Climate Change Mitigation.” Science of the Total Environment 885(December 2022):163699. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163699.
Sugiharti, Lilik, Miguel Angel Esquivias, and Bekti Setyorani. 2020. “The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Indonesia’s Top Exports to the Five Main Export Markets.” Heliyon 6(1):e03141. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e03141.
Tajulfitri, Sang Saniaka, and Widyaiswara. 2019. “POSISI PERDAGANGAN KARET INDONESIA DALAM MENGHADAPI PASAR GLOBAL.” Jurnal Cendekia Niaga 3(2):5–10.
Wahyudy, Hajry Arief, Khairizal, and Heriyanto. 2018. “PERKEMBANGAN EKSPOR KARET ALAM INDONESIA.” Jurnal Dinamika Pertanian XXXIV(2):88.
Welatama, Andresta. 2017. “DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN INTERNATIONAL TRIPARTITE RUBBER COUNCIL DALAM MEMBATASI KUOTA EKSPOR KARET ALAM TERHADAP INDONESIA.” JOM FISIP 4(2):1–8.
Zuhdi, Fadhlan, and Rizqi Sari Anggraini. 2020. “The Indonesian Natural Rubber Export Competitiveness in Global Market.” International Journal of Agriculture System (JAS) 8(2):130–39. doi: 10.20956/ijas.v8i2.2518.
Published
2025-07-30
How to Cite
FADHILAH, Alfirah; FARIYANTI, Anna; ADHI, Andriyono Kilat.
Potential Competitiveness of Indonesian Rubber Export in International Trade.
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, [S.l.], v. 19, n. 2, p. 94-106, july 2025.
ISSN 2615-6628.
Available at: <https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/soca/article/view/125740>. Date accessed: 14 oct. 2025.
doi: https://doi.org/10.24843/SOCA.2025.v19.i02.p03.
Section
Articles
