Determinants of Poverty in East Java after the Covid-19 Pandemic

  • Dyah Purwanti PKN-STAN
  • Sigit Budiantono PKN-STAN
  • Nurhidayati Nurhidayati PKN-STAN
  • Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia
  • Ade Marsinta Arsani Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the economy both nationally and nationally.    Economic activity slowed down, many businesses closed their businesses, and there was an increase in the poor.   The government is conducting fiscal interventions to overcome the impact of the pandemic both on supply and demand. The intervention is expected to keep the economy growing despite being thin. East Java Province had achievements in reducing poverty until the end of 2019; after the pandemic, poverty increased significantly at the end of 2021. This condition is challenging for the Provincial Government and the City / Regency Government in East Java. Therefore, this study analyzes the determinants of poverty in East Java after the pandemic. Data was sourced from the Statistic Indonesia of East Java for 2018-2021. Using a regression of panel data (fixed effect model), we found that the human development index reduced poverty. On the contrary, the Covid pandemic, this ratio, and economic growth positively impact poverty. The implications of the findings suggest the need for comprehensive economic and macro-social policies so that the poverty rate in East Java can be reduced.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (Third). John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Bank, T. W. (2021). COVID-19 to Add as Many as 150 Million Extreme Poor. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2021/01/20/covid-19-to-add-as-many-as-150-million-extreme-poor-by-2021
Bank, W. (2016). Poverty Reduction and Shared Prosperity 2016: Taking on Inequality.
Boediono. (2001). Ekonomi Makro (4th ed.). BPFE.
BPS. (2023). Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Menurut Pengeluaran Triwulanan (Persen), 2020. https://jatim.bps.go.id/indicator/52/504/3/-seri-2010-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-menurut-pengeluaran-triwulanan.html
Ginting, C. K. ., Lubis, I., & Mahalli, K. (2008). Pembangunan Manusia di Indonesia. Jurnal Perencanaan Dan Pengembangan Wilaya, 4(1).
Greene, W. H. (2018). Econometric Analysis (8th ed.). Pearson.
Gujarati, D. (2004). Basic Econometrics BY Gujarati (pp. 1–1002). McGraw-Hill Inc.
Jonnadi, A., Amar, S., & Aimon, H. (2012). Analisis pertumbuhan ekonomi dan kemiskinan di indonesia. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi, 1(1).
Klasen, S. (2010). Measurement of and trends in inequality and poverty in developing countries. World Development, 38(3), 420–435.
Milanovic, B. (2002). True world income distribution, 1988 and 1993: First calculations, based on household surveys alone. The Economic Journal, 112(476), 51–92.
Mirza, D. S. (2012). Pengaruh kemiskinan, pertumbuhan ekonomi, dan belanja modal terhadap indeks pembangunan manusia di Jawa Tengah tahun 2006-2009. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 1(2).
Nallari, R., Griffith, B., & Goodyear, R. K. (2006). Poverty reduction strategy papers and growth: what is the connection? World Development, 34(4), 613–631.
Ningsih, D., & Andiny, P. (2018). Analisis pengaruh inflasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap kemiskinan di Indonesia. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika, 2(1), 53–61.
Ravallion, M. (2004). Pro-poor growth: a primer. In World Bank Policy Research Working Paper.
Ravallion, M., & Chen, S. (2003). Measuring pro-poor growth. Economics Letters, 78(1), 93–99.
Saputri, M., & Rahmawati, F. (2022). Tingkat Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Masa Pandemi Covid-19 di Provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 5(4), 55–73.
SMERU. (2021). Situasi Kemiskinan Selama Pandemi. https://smeru.or.id/id/article-id/situasi-kemiskinan-selama-pandemi
Sumner, A., Hoy, C., & Ortiz-Juarez, E. (2020). Estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty.
UNDP. (2014). Human Development Report 2014: Sustaining Human Progress: Reducing Vulnerabilities and Building Resilience.
Walpole, R. E. (2012). Probability & Statistics for Engineers & Scientists. Pearson.
Published
2023-08-08
How to Cite
PURWANTI, Dyah et al. Determinants of Poverty in East Java after the Covid-19 Pandemic. Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan, [S.l.], p. 287-298, aug. 2023. ISSN 2303-0186. Available at: <https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/jekt/article/view/101136>. Date accessed: 09 may 2024. doi: https://doi.org/10.24843/JEKT.2023.v16.i02.p06.