ANALISIS PENGARUH PDB DAN KURS DOLLAR AMERIKA TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN MELALUI FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1996-2015
Abstract
ABSTRACT
International trade is a an economic activitiy to trade and exchange goods and services with other countries. This study aims to determine direct influences and indirect influence among variables which become object research, namely GDP, Exchange Rate (US Dollar), FDI and trade balance in Indonesia. Data used are secondary data from 1996 to 2015. Data analysis technique used is path analysis with assistment of SPSS 16.00 program. Based on results of analysis, GDP variable has a positive effect on foreign direct investment, variable of US Dollar exchange rate has negative effect on foreign direct investment, GDP has negative effect on trade balance, US dollar exchange rate has positive effect on trade balance and FDI has no effect on trade balance. GDP and US dollar exchange rate have no indirect effect on trade balance through FDI in Indonesia in 1996-2015.
Keywords: Exchange Rate US Dollar, foreign direct investment, GDP, trade balance