METODE STATE SPACE DALAM MERAMALKAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG KERETA API DI PULAU JAWA

Abstract

State space is an approach to model and predict together several time series data that are interconnected, and these variables have dynamic interactions. The purpose of this research is to model the number of train passengers in Java and find out the forecasting results using the state space method. The algorithm used to solve the state space model is the Kalman filter. In this research, a suitable final model is local level model with seasonal and produces MAPE value of 2%, this shows that the state space method is very accurately.

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Author Biographies

FITRI ANANDA DITA SARASWITA, Udayana University

Program Studi Matematika, Fakultas MIPA – Universitas Udayana

I WAYAN SUMARJAYA, Udayana University

Program Studi Matematika, Fakultas MIPA – Universitas Udayana

LUH PUTU IDA HARINI, Udayana University

Program Studi Matematika, Fakultas MIPA – Universitas Udayana

Published
2020-01-31
How to Cite
SARASWITA, FITRI ANANDA DITA; SUMARJAYA, I WAYAN; HARINI, LUH PUTU IDA. METODE STATE SPACE DALAM MERAMALKAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG KERETA API DI PULAU JAWA. E-Jurnal Matematika, [S.l.], v. 9, n. 1, p. 8-13, jan. 2020. ISSN 2303-1751. Available at: <https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/mtk/article/view/57147>. Date accessed: 21 nov. 2024. doi: https://doi.org/10.24843/MTK.2020.v09.i01.p272.
Section
Articles

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