ANALISIS HUBUNGAN PENDAPATAN WISATAWAN DAN HARGA PARIWISATA TERHADAP PERMINTAAN PARIWISATA DENGAN VECM

  • MERARY SIANIPAR Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
  • NI LUH PUTU SUCIPTAWATI Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
  • KOMANG DHARMAWAN Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
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Abstrak

Tourism demand is focused on estimating variables which influence tourist visit. The tourism demand that we discuss on this research is the tourism demand to Bali of the major tourism-generating country was Australia. The aim of this research is to analyze the relationship between tourist income and tourism price to tourism demand using VECM. VECM requires that the variables in the model must be stationary and fulfilled a cointegration condition. In order to make it valid, the stationarity of variables in the model have to be checked using ADF unit root test. In additon, cointegration between these variables are examined using Johansen’s cointegration test. The results of ADF unit root test show that indicated the tourist income, the tourism price and the tourism demand for Australia data are stationary in first lag or I(1). Cointegration test shows that all variables are cointegrated, i.e. have a long-run relationship. In the long-run, the tourist income and tourism price give positive effect to the tourism demand. This means, the increase of tourist income and tourism price will contribute to the increase in tourism demand. In addition, in the short-run, the tourist income and the tourism price give negative effect to the tourism demand. This means, the increase of tourist income and tourism price will contribute to the decrease in tourism demand.

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Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
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Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
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Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
Diterbitkan
2016-05-31
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SIANIPAR, MERARY; SUCIPTAWATI, NI LUH PUTU; DHARMAWAN, KOMANG. ANALISIS HUBUNGAN PENDAPATAN WISATAWAN DAN HARGA PARIWISATA TERHADAP PERMINTAAN PARIWISATA DENGAN VECM. E-Jurnal Matematika, [S.l.], v. 5, n. 2, p. 44 - 51, may 2016. ISSN 2303-1751. Tersedia pada: <https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/mtk/article/view/21297>. Tanggal Akses: 15 oct. 2025 doi: https://doi.org/10.24843/MTK.2016.v05.i02.p120.
Bagian
Articles

Kata Kunci

ADF Unit Root Test; Johansen’s Cointegration Test; The Tourism Demand; The Tourist Income; The Tourism Price; Vector Error Correction Model

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