PELUANG PENGEMBANGAN KELAPA SAWIT DI INDONESIA: PERSPEKTIF JANGKA PANJANG 2025

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WAYAN R. SUSILA

Abstract

After experiencing fast growth rates in 1990th, palm oil industry in Indonesia
is facing some constraints that make investors have been reluctant to invest in the
industry. The aim of this paper is to analyze prospects and business opportunities of
the industry, by using a long run time horizon of 2005-2025. The results of analysis
indicate that the world CPO consumption is estimated to be around 41.15 – 44.45
million tones in 2025. With the world CPO production in 2004 was around 25.67
million tones, and then the opportunities to increase production by 2025 was
estimated between 15.78 – 18.78 million tones. Indonesia was predicted to gain the
higher share in capturing this market opportunities (40%) or around 6.31 – 7.51
million tones, equivalent to 1.80 – 2.15 million ha of area expansion. Total investment
required for area expansion and CPO plants development by 2020 is estimated at Rp
57.12 – Rp 67.97 trillion. In capturing these opportunities, investors have to face 22
investment constraints, mainly limited funding sources, the negative impacts of
regional autonomy, land conflict, and environmental issue.

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How to Cite
R. SUSILA, WAYAN. PELUANG PENGEMBANGAN KELAPA SAWIT DI INDONESIA: PERSPEKTIF JANGKA PANJANG 2025. SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, [S.l.], nov. 2012. ISSN 2615-6628. Available at: <https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/soca/article/view/4161>. Date accessed: 27 apr. 2024.
Keywords
Palm Oil, Industry, Investor, Perspective
Section
Articles