ANALISIS KOINTEGRASI JUMLAH WISATAWAN, INFLASI, DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO (PDRB) PROVINSI BALI

MADE ARISTIAWAN JIWA ATMAJA; I PUTU EKA N. KENCANA; G. K. GANDHIADI

doi:10.24843/MTK.2015.v04.i03.p093

ANALISIS KOINTEGRASI JUMLAH WISATAWAN, INFLASI, DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO (PDRB) PROVINSI BALI

MADE ARISTIAWAN JIWA ATMAJA Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
I PUTU EKA N. KENCANA Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University
G. K. GANDHIADI Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

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Abstrak

This paper aimed to determine long-run equilibrium the tourist arrivals, inflation, exchange rate and gross domestic regional product (GDRP) of Bali Province used Johansen’s cointegration test. First examined whether each stationary variables using augmented dickey fuller (ADF) test. ADF test showed GDRP of Bali, tourist arrivals, and exchange rate are not stationary, so it is assumed stationary in first lag or I(1). While inflation is stationary in level or I(0). Johansen’s cointegration test showed the tourist arrivals, inflation, exchange rate and GDRP of Bali are not cointegrated. Notice that there is no long-run equilibrium, it can not be concluded for structural equation models.

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Mathematics Depatment, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

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Mathematics Depatment, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

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Mathematics Depatment, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

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Diterbitkan

2015-06-27

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JIWA ATMAJA, MADE ARISTIAWAN; N. KENCANA, I PUTU EKA; GANDHIADI, G. K.. ANALISIS KOINTEGRASI JUMLAH WISATAWAN, INFLASI, DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO (PDRB) PROVINSI BALI. E-Jurnal Matematika, [S.l.], v. 4, n. 3, p. 83 - 89, june 2015. ISSN 2303-1751. Tersedia pada: <https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/mtk/article/view/13846>. Tanggal Akses: 15 oct. 2025 doi: https://doi.org/10.24843/MTK.2015.v04.i03.p093.

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